SILVER MINING SYSTEMS

Silver Miners - Max Return Strategy

An aggressive dual-opportunity strategy that captures both short-term swings and major trends in silver mining stocks.

How This System Thinks

Silver miners combine the volatility of silver with the operational risks of mining companies. The result is an asset class with dramatic upside potential and equally dramatic downside risk. This system was designed to be in the market for the big moves up and out before the big moves down.

Our research identified two reliable patterns. The first is a weekly cyclical signal that catches the sector’s tendency to overreact to the downside before snapping back - silver miners are prone to sharp V-shaped recoveries, and this signal positions early. The second is a slow-moving monthly trend signal that captures the multi-month advances driven by rising silver prices and improving mining economics.

The system responds to whichever pattern fires first. If the weekly cycle is turning or the monthly trend is building, it gets invested. This keeps it in the market 73% of the time, casting a wide net to ensure it captures opportunities whether they come from short-term reversals or sustained trend changes.

Performance (2014–2025)

A 16.4% annualised return versus buy-and-hold’s 8.9% - nearly double the passive return. The exposure-adjusted CAGR of 22.5% reflects strong capital efficiency even with 73% market exposure.

The drawdown picture is nuanced. The system’s worst drawdown of 62% is large in absolute terms, though it’s an improvement over buy-and-hold’s 65%. In a sector this volatile, the real value shows up in the cumulative return: the system’s higher CAGR means it recovers from drawdowns faster and spends more time in new high territory.

Trading Profile

What To Expect

This is an active system - nearly 7 trades per year, with positions averaging about 28 days. The longest idle period is just over two months, so you’re rarely waiting long for the next opportunity.

Silver miners are inherently volatile. This system won’t eliminate that volatility, but it will put you on the right side of it more often. Expect occasional whipsaws as the cost of catching the sector’s sharp moves early.

Silver Miners - Min Risk Strategy

A highly selective strategy that only invests in silver miners when momentum is accelerating on both weekly and monthly timeframes.

How This System Thinks

Silver miners are among the most volatile investments available in public markets. For risk-conscious investors who still want exposure to the sector’s upside, the question isn’t whether to time entries - it’s how selective to be.

This system measures the rate at which the sector’s momentum is building, on two different timeframes. The weekly reading detects when momentum is accelerating in the near term. The monthly reading confirms that this acceleration is part of a broader trend, not just a temporary bounce.

The system demands agreement from both before committing capital. It’s invested just 23% of the time - the most selective of any system in the silver miners space. When it enters, momentum is building on every timeframe that matters.

Performance (2014–2025)

An 11.9% annualised return versus buy-and-hold’s 8.9%, achieved while being invested less than a quarter of the time. The exposure-adjusted CAGR of 50.9% is extraordinary - per day invested, this system generates nearly six times the return of passive holding.

The drawdown story is compelling. Buy-and-hold’s worst decline was 65%. This system limited its worst to 30%, cutting the maximum pain in half. With 77% of your time spent in cash, you’re insulated from the sector’s notorious crashes while still capturing meaningful upside when conditions align.

Trading Profile

What To Expect

This is a very patient system. Roughly 1–2 trades per year, with positions lasting about 43 days. The longest idle stretch is nearly two years.

Silver miners will rally without you. That’s the deal. In exchange, you get a dramatically smoother ride through one of the roughest sectors in the market. When this system does invest, it’s because momentum at every level confirms the move - and those entries have historically led to the sector’s most sustained advances.